Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.719129 0.834613 0.959851 1.105394 1.269505 1.448442 1.657910
2024-12-29 0.557612 0.719440 0.910783 1.152034 1.446255 1.791482 2.225098
2025-01-05 0.430568 0.608996 0.836151 1.142706 1.541223 2.036954 2.694761
2025-01-12 0.340955 0.523339 0.771097 1.125584 1.611886 2.246759 3.127697
2025-01-19 0.277894 0.459397 0.720724 1.114362 1.680091 2.449673 3.558370
2025-01-26 0.238661 0.421629 0.698976 1.135884 1.789366 2.709814 4.078161
2025-02-02 0.205755 0.387101 0.675582 1.149232 1.883924 2.951740 4.584283
2025-02-09 0.177707 0.355201 0.650836 1.155483 1.965147 3.176327 5.075890
2025-02-16 0.158614 0.335200 0.641906 1.184097 2.080535 3.456004 5.661867
2025-02-23 0.139589 0.311890 0.623830 1.194493 2.165870 3.693101 6.194946
2025-03-02 0.116487 0.276591 0.579746 1.155008 2.164802 3.793487 6.521134
2025-03-09 0.105948 0.264574 0.576201 1.185372 2.281462 4.085687 7.160661
2025-03-16 0.095429 0.251186 0.569068 1.209666 2.391604 4.377462 7.821848
2025-03-23 0.090468 0.249261 0.584152 1.276758 2.582062 4.813293 8.740332
2025-03-30 0.079135 0.230567 0.562894 1.271930 2.642378 5.033148 9.314028
2025-04-06 0.068362 0.211006 0.537031 1.254858 2.677844 5.211033 9.824754
2025-04-13 0.059529 0.194435 0.515186 1.243078 2.721193 5.403363 10.367180
2025-04-20 0.054258 0.186208 0.510840 1.266893 2.833983 5.723986 11.144875
2025-04-27 0.049003 0.176916 0.502734 1.281609 2.929390 6.017419 11.887291
2025-05-04 0.043907 0.166965 0.491660 1.288492 3.009071 6.285355 12.595440
2025-05-11 0.040626 0.161804 0.491643 1.319915 3.140441 6.655174 13.501531
2025-05-18 0.036722 0.153794 0.483310 1.331328 3.230715 6.951439 14.285744
2025-05-25 0.030981 0.138234 0.452998 1.287979 3.201878 7.018107 14.649987